The headline, CPI “U.S. City Average” inflation rate published today by the Bureau of Labor Statistics up, at 0.7%. Prices actually fell in December (on a seasonally adjusted basis) but December 2014’s much larger fall, fell out of the year-to-year rate, resulting in that increase to 0.7%. At the local level. San Francisco’s CPI… Read more » Read More
Posts By: xps
Payrolls Watch: Growth Breaks Trend
Updating our look at the October 2015 payrolls, where we compared the year-to-year growth with the rolling 3-month growth. The three-month growth rate (annualized) has broken through to the upside of the still down-trending year-over-year growth rate. The annual percentage growth to December 2015 of 1.9% is still below the 2.3% recorded for the year… Read more » Read More
Unrounded Unemployment – Down in December
December’s unemployment headline rate was unchanged at 5.0% – flat since October. But, as we reported last month, the rounding of the rate to one decimal places hides some detail. When we look at the unemployment rate to two decimal figures, we see that it has reached a new minimum. And this is on… Read more » Read More
Payrolls Survey: Jobs Growth of 292,000 in December
The Bureau of Labor Statistics’ December Payroll Survey reported a seasonally adjusted gain of 292,000 jobs, 275,000 in the private sector. Read More
Payroll Growth Is Not Growing
The past two months’ seasonally adjusted changes are being viewed as signs of a robust pick-up in growth. But in the medium to long term perspective that is needed with so much month-to-month noise, revision and adjustment – growth is slowing. On a percentage basis, both year-over-year, and a rolling quarterly growth (annualized) are both… Read more » Read More
Unemployment Not Quite Flat in November
Today’s headline unemployment rate was unchanged at 5.0% as reported today by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. If we look in closer, decimal detail (as we did last month – “Rounding Unemployment“) we see that instead of a 0.1% drop in October and no change in November we have, really, a no-change situation for September… Read more » Read More
South and Mid-West Apartments Lower Starts
Housing Starts nationally dropped to an annualized rate of 1,103 Million units in October. Read More