Payroll Growth Is Not Growing

Posted - Filed under Payroll Survey.

The past two months’ seasonally adjusted changes are being viewed as signs of a robust pick-up in growth. But in the medium to long term perspective that is needed with so much month-to-month noise, revision and adjustment – growth is slowing. On a percentage basis, both year-over-year, and a rolling quarterly growth (annualized) are both… Read more » Read More

JOLTS vs Payroll Survey

Posted - Filed under JOLTS, Payroll Survey.

We compare and contrast the two surveys, looking for clues to the October “surge” in Payrolls. The new, September JOLTS data neither confirms nor denies. Read More

Why All The Fuss?

Posted - Filed under Payroll Survey.

Much was made of the October Payrolls Survey’s headline growth figure of 271,000 in comparison with the growth rates for August and September of 153,000 and 137,000 respectively. Read More