Posts Categorized: Release Preview

Mathematical biases in the seasonal adjustment process are used briefly to examine the projected trend for March’s BLS Payrolls Report (Friday, April 4th). Read More

Mathematical biases in the seasonal adjustment process are used to examine the projected trend for February’s BLS Payrolls Report (Friday 7th). Revisions or reversals to two major sector move in January may impact the trend. Read More

Strong biases in the mathematics place downward pressure on October numbers. Bias towards baseline growth of less than 100,000 jobs – even without any private sector furloughs due to the government shutdown. Read More

The mathematical trend is for an increase of 163,000 private-sector, non-farm jobs in September. Our further analysis suggests a possible upside bias to 173,000. October growth to be hit hard by local government seasonal “catch-up”. Read More