Posts By: xps

May Payroll Employment – Trend Forecast Reviewed

Posted by & filed under Payroll Survey, Release Observations.

According to the BLS Survey, Non-Farm Payroll employment grew by 217,000, and within that figure, Private sector payrolls by 216,000 in May.

Our purely mathematical “trend forecast” based on the BLS’s model for seasonal adjustment, had given 235,000 and 231,000 respectively as the continuation of trend for those payrolls. Construction and Health Care came in below and above trend, respectively. Read More

May Payrolls Preview

Posted by & filed under Payroll Survey, Release Preview.

Total Payrolls to gain 235,000 jobs (consensus figure: 213,000), Private non-farm to gain 231,000 jobs. Breakdown by industry included, review of various forecasts and estimates, including last month’s trend forecast. Read More

April Jobs Report Preview: Trend calls for 215,000 more Private Sector jobs.

Posted by & filed under Payroll Survey, Release Preview.

For those interested in more detail behind the following, please contact us – we will be happy to discuss further.   The Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish its April Payrolls Survey on Friday, May 2nd. Barring revisions to March and February numbers the underlying mathematical trend projects an increase of 218,000 jobs in April… Read more » Read More